Born at Albany, N. Named pope while yet a subdeacon, to thwart the Monophysites.
If you are American, SSC endorses voting in this presidential election. Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin calculate the chance that a single vote will determine the election ie break a tie in a state that breaks an Electoral College tie.
It ranges from about one in ten million if you live in a swing state to one in a billion if you live in a very safe state.
The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results. The paper was from the election, which was a pro-Obama landslide; since this election is closer the chance of determining it may be even higher.
But Presidents do shift budgetary priorities a lot. Neither of these are pure costs — Obamacare buys us more health care, and military presence in Iraq buys us [mumble] — but if you think these are less or more efficient ways to spend money than other possible uses, then they represent ways that having one President might be better than another.
In order to add signal rather than noise to the election results, we have to be better than the average voter. I recommend the Outside View — looking for measurable indicators correlated with ability to make good choices.
IQ might be another. Suppose you live in a swing state. If you value the amount of time it takes to vote at less than that, voting is conceivably a good use of your time. SSC endorses voting for Hillary Clinton if you live in a swing state.
If you live in a safe state, I endorse voting for Clinton, Johnson, or if you insist Stein. If you want, you can use a vote-swapping site to make this easier or more impactful. I think Donald Trump would be a bad president. Partly this is because of his policies, insofar as he has them.
But the latest news says: This is going to be close. And since the lesson of Brexit is that polls underestimate support for politically incorrect choicesthis is going to be really close. But if some of my blogging on conservative issues has given me any political capital with potential Trump voters, then I this is where I want to spend it.
So here are some reasons why I would be afraid to have Trump as president even if I agreed with him about the issues.
Many conservatives make the argument against utopianism. These same conservatives have traced this longing through leftist history from Lenin through social justice. Which of the candidates in this election are millennarian? If Stein were in, same, no contest. The left and right both critique Hillary the same way.
All she wants to do is make little tweaks — a better tax policy here, a new foreign policy doctrine there. The critiques are right. Hillary represents complete safety from millennialism.
In my review of Singer on MarxI wrote that: It seemed like a pretty big gap.
But in fact Marx was philosophically opposed, as a matter of principle, to any planning about the structure of communist governments or economies. There might be some very light planning, a couple of discussions, but these would just be epiphenomena of the governing historical laws working themselves out.
Just as, a dam having been removed, a river will eventually reach the sea somehow, so capitalism having been removed society will eventually reach a perfect state of freedom and cooperation. Hegel viewed all human history as the World-Spirit trying to recognize and incarnate itself.
As it overcomes its various confusions and false dichotomies, it advances into forms that more completely incarnate the World-Spirit and then moves onto the next problem. Finally, it ends with the World-Spirit completely incarnated — possibly in the form of early 19th century Prussia — and everything is great forever.
So once the World-Spirit resolves the dichotomy between Capitalist and Proletariat, then it can more completely incarnate itself and move on to the next problem.
Except that this is the final problem the proof of this is trivial and is left as exercise for the reader so the World-Spirit becomes fully incarnate and everything is great forever. And you want to plan for how that should happen? Are you saying you know better than the World-Spirit, Comrade?Overall, the interior of the synagogue reminded me very much of a church.
The sanctuary was round or possibly octagonal, with the seating also set up in a semicircle. Inside of the sanctuary the atmosphere was different from that in the lobby, more serious I would say. A synagogue will look like any other building from the outside - the only sign you might get from the outside is the star of David which is called magen David in the Hebrew tongue.
There may also be a sign outside stating the name of the synagogue. I’d won the Wolfson Press Fellowship, which awarded a glorious term of study at Cambridge University. My topic was “the portrayal of architecture in mainstream media”.
Jul 07, · (Getty/Shutterstock/Salon) “My synagogue was a jail cell”: My miracle happened behind bars I was 6 months sober when I spent my first night in jail.
The "traditional" view is that Eastern European Jews descend almost entirely from French and German Jews. This essay presents the pros and cons of the controversial "Khazar theory" of Eastern European Jewish origins and will attempt to provide a likely middle-ground solution to the question.
Some of the 2, polished marble blocks, or 'stellae' can be seen at the Memorial to the Murdered Jews of Europe, also called the Holocaust Memorial (Photo by Carsten Koall/Getty Images).